June 3, 2025
Rubber India
Overview
Today, Japanese rubber futures have fallen to their lowest levels in over a year. The decline is primarily driven by weak demand from China, the top consumer of rubber, and expectations of increased supply due to seasonal tapping.
Market Details
Japanese Rubber Futures: The Osaka Exchange rubber contract for November delivery decreased by 5.3 yen (1.82%) to 285.6 yen ($1.99) per kg. Earlier, prices dropped to 280 yen, the lowest since February 13, 2024.
Singapore Exchange: The front-month rubber contract for June delivery rose slightly to 158.7 U.S. cents per kg, an increase of 0.8%.
Demand Factors
Weaker Demand from China: Tyre manufacturers in China are showing lower demand for rubber. This is compounded by a price war in the automotive industry, which is affecting profits and, consequently, reducing the need for tyres.
Impact of Auto Industry: China’s automobile sales are expected to influence rubber demand significantly. Recent data shows that factory activity in China shrank for the first time in eight months, indicating potential challenges for the manufacturing sector.
Supply Factors
Increased Raw Material Supply: Seasonal tapping is progressing well, with expectations that rubber supply will increase in June. This period typically sees a peak in production, lasting until September.
Market Sentiment: Traders anticipate a supply surplus, leading to preemptive selling in the futures market.
Conclusion
The natural rubber market is currently facing challenges due to weak demand from China and expectations of increased supply. The combination of lower tyre manufacturing needs and an anticipated surplus is impacting futures prices negatively. Traders and manufacturers will need to monitor developments in the automotive sector, as changes here could further influence rubber demand.