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Natural Rubber Market Report – Today


June 3, 2025
Rubber India

Overview
Today, Japanese rubber futures have fallen to their lowest levels in over a year. The decline is primarily driven by weak demand from China, the top consumer of rubber, and expectations of increased supply due to seasonal tapping.

Market Details

Japanese Rubber Futures: The Osaka Exchange rubber contract for November delivery decreased by 5.3 yen (1.82%) to 285.6 yen ($1.99) per kg. Earlier, prices dropped to 280 yen, the lowest since February 13, 2024.

Singapore Exchange: The front-month rubber contract for June delivery rose slightly to 158.7 U.S. cents per kg, an increase of 0.8%.

Demand Factors
Weaker Demand from China: Tyre manufacturers in China are showing lower demand for rubber. This is compounded by a price war in the automotive industry, which is affecting profits and, consequently, reducing the need for tyres.

Impact of Auto Industry: China’s automobile sales are expected to influence rubber demand significantly. Recent data shows that factory activity in China shrank for the first time in eight months, indicating potential challenges for the manufacturing sector.

Supply Factors
Increased Raw Material Supply: Seasonal tapping is progressing well, with expectations that rubber supply will increase in June. This period typically sees a peak in production, lasting until September.
Market Sentiment: Traders anticipate a supply surplus, leading to preemptive selling in the futures market.

Conclusion
The natural rubber market is currently facing challenges due to weak demand from China and expectations of increased supply. The combination of lower tyre manufacturing needs and an anticipated surplus is impacting futures prices negatively. Traders and manufacturers will need to monitor developments in the automotive sector, as changes here could further influence rubber demand.

Natural Rubber Market Report – Today

May 30, 2025
Rubber India

Overview
Today, Japanese rubber futures experienced a decline, marking the first weekly loss in five weeks. This drop is attributed to increased supply from seasonal harvesting and ongoing uncertainty regarding U.S. tariffs.

Market Performance
Osaka Exchange (OSE): The rubber contract for November delivery fell by 7.1 yen (2.26%), settling at 307.5 yen ($2.14) per kg. The contract has decreased by 3.91% this week, its first weekly decline since April 25.

Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE): The September rubber contract decreased by 235 yuan (1.7%), reaching 13,605 yuan ($1,893.71) per metric ton. The active July butadiene rubber contract also saw a decline, dropping by 100 yuan (0.88%) to 11,245 yuan ($1,565.22) per ton.

Singapore Exchange (SICOM): The June delivery contract last traded at 162 U.S. cents per kg, down by 2.5%.

Supply Factors
As of May 28, domestic production areas and Vietnamese plantations have begun full-scale harvesting, which is increasing supply pressure in the market. The typical low production season lasts from February to May, followed by a peak harvesting period from June to September.

Trade Uncertainty
The market is facing trade uncertainty due to recent developments in U.S. tariffs. A federal appeals court has reinstated tariffs initially imposed by President Trump, reversing a previous court decision that had blocked these duties. This situation is contributing to volatility in the markets.

Currency Impact
In currency markets, the Japanese yen strengthened by 0.3% to 143.73 per dollar. A stronger yen makes yen-denominated assets less affordable for international buyers, potentially impacting demand.

Stock Market Reaction
The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariffs also affected Japan’s stock market, with the Nikkei index falling by 1.4% to 37,880.58.

Conclusion
The natural rubber market is currently facing downward pressure due to increased supply and trade uncertainties. Traders should monitor developments in U.S. tariffs and the ongoing harvesting season for potential impacts on prices and market stability.

Natural Rubber Market Report – Today

May 29, 2025
Rubber India

Overview
Today, Japanese rubber futures are trading within a narrow range. Traders are considering two main factors: wet weather in Thailand, a key rubber-producing country, and a price war in China’s auto market.

Market Prices

Osaka Exchange (OSE): The rubber contract for November delivery is down by 0.3 yen (0.09%), currently at 316.6 yen ($2.17) per kg.

Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE): The September rubber contract has decreased by 175 yuan (1.24%) to 13,895 yuan ($1,929.08) per metric ton.

June Butadiene Rubber Contract: This contract has increased by 50 yuan (0.44%), now at 11,380 yuan ($1,579.92) per ton.

Singapore Exchange (SICOM): The June delivery contract last traded at 166.8 U.S. cents per kg, up by 0.1%.

Key Factors Affecting the Market

Weather Conditions

Thailand’s Weather: The Thai meteorological agency has issued warnings about heavy rain and possible flash floods from May 28-29. This weather could damage rubber crops and delay harvesting, impacting supply.

Harvesting Season: The rubber harvesting season typically sees lower production from February to May, followed by a peak from June to September. Current weather disturbances are affecting tapping in production areas.

Auto Market Dynamics

China’s Price War: The automotive industry in China is facing intense pricing pressures, affecting major electric vehicle manufacturers. This situation raises concerns about the financial health of car companies and their suppliers, including those that produce rubber for tires.

Market Reactions: Shares of major electric car makers have dropped, indicating worries about a potential shake-out in the auto market. The performance of automobile sales can significantly influence rubber demand.

Inventory Updates
As of May 25, 2025, the total inventory of natural rubber in the Qingdao area stands at 614,600 tons, a slight increase of 400 tons (0.06%) from the previous period.

Conclusion
The natural rubber market is currently affected by adverse weather conditions in Thailand and pricing pressures in China’s automotive industry. Traders will continue to monitor these developments, as they may influence both supply and demand in the coming weeks.

Rubber Market Report – Today

May 28, 2025
Rubber India

Overview
On May 28, 2025, Japanese rubber futures experienced a decline due to concerns surrounding a prolonged price war in China’s automobile market. This situation has negatively impacted market sentiment for rubber, a key material used in tire manufacturing.

Market Performance

Osaka Exchange (OSE): The rubber contract for November delivery fell by 4.6 yen, or 1.41%, settling at 321.3 yen ($2.23) per kg.

Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE):
The September delivery rubber contract dropped by 340 yuan, or 2.36%, to 14,095 yuan ($1,957.42) per metric ton.

The June butadiene rubber contract decreased by 260 yuan, or 2.24%, to 11,325 yuan ($1,572.74) per ton.

Singapore Exchange (SICOM): The front-month rubber contract for June delivery last traded at 166.7 U.S. cents per kg, down 2.2%.

Factors Influencing the Market

Price War in China: The ongoing price war in China’s auto industry, particularly following significant discounts offered by electric vehicle manufacturer BYD, has raised fears of a shake-out in the market. This has led to concerns about the financial health of various automakers and their suppliers, which could further impact rubber demand.

Supply Dynamics: As overseas tapping of rubber begins, the supply of raw materials is expected to increase, which may put additional pressure on prices. Typically, rubber production experiences a low period from February to May, followed by a peak harvesting season that lasts until September.

Currency Impact: The Japanese yen has weakened, trading at 144.345 per dollar, which could make yen-denominated assets more attractive to overseas buyers. This currency fluctuation may influence the overall market dynamics for rubber and other commodities.

Conclusion
The natural rubber market is currently facing downward pressure due to fears stemming from the automotive sector’s pricing strategies in China. As the market adjusts to these developments, stakeholders will need to monitor both supply trends and currency fluctuations closely.

Natural Rubber Market Today – May 22, 2025

Overview of the Natural Rubber Market Today

In the natural rubber market today, Japanese rubber futures experienced a slight increase due to stronger demand from China, the leading consumer of rubber. However, gains were capped by a stronger yen and seasonal harvesting trends.

Key Market Highlights

  • Japanese Rubber Futures:
    • The Osaka Exchange’s October contract rose by 0.9 yen (0.28%) to 321.1 yen per kg ($2.24) as of 02:01 GMT.
  • Shanghai Futures Exchange:
    • The September rubber contract increased by 55 yuan (0.37%) to 14,910 yuan ($2,071.87) per metric ton.
    • The June butadiene rubber contract edged up by 25 yuan (0.21%) to 11,980 yuan ($1,664.72) per metric ton.
  • Singapore Exchange:
    • The June delivery contract last traded at 172.8 U.S. cents per kg, up 0.3%.

Supply and Demand in the Natural Rubber Market Today

  • Inventory Levels:
    • As of May 18, 2025, total inventory in the Qingdao area was 614,200 tons, down by 4,500 tons (0.73%) from the previous period.
  • Capacity Utilization:
    • China’s semi-steel and full-steel tire manufacturers reported monthly capacity increases of 24.5% and 18.19%, respectively.

Currency Influence on the Natural Rubber Market Today

  • The yen strengthened against the dollar, trading at 143.27 yen. A stronger yen makes rubber more expensive for overseas buyers, which may impact demand.

Seasonal Effects on Natural Rubber Production

  • Natural rubber production typically decreases from February to May, with a peak harvesting season expected from June to September. This seasonal pattern is influencing current price dynamics.

Weather Impacts on the Natural Rubber Market Today

  • Thailand’s meteorological agency has issued warnings about heavy rains that could lead to flash floods, affecting rubber supply as the southwest monsoon approaches from May 23 to 27.

Regulatory News Affecting the Natural Rubber Market Today

  • The European Commission has launched an investigation into potential anti-dumping measures on imports of tires from China, which could impact future rubber demand.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the natural rubber market today is seeing support from Chinese demand, but a stronger yen and seasonal factors are limiting price gains. Stakeholders should keep an eye on weather developments and regulatory changes, as these factors could significantly influence the market in the coming weeks.

Rubber Market Report – Today

May 21, 2025
Rubber India

Overview
On May 21, 2025, Japanese rubber futures saw a slight decline due to an increase in supply from ongoing harvesting, although strong demand for tyres helped limit the drop.

Market Performance

Osaka Exchange (OSE):
October rubber contract fell by 0.8 yen (0.25%) to 322.5 yen ($2.24) per kg.

Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE):
September rubber contract decreased by 45 yuan (0.3%) to 14,910 yuan ($2,067.42) per metric ton.June butadiene rubber contract dropped by 60 yuan (0.49%) to 12,075 yuan ($1,674.32) per metric ton.

Supply Outlook
The start of the harvesting season is boosting supply, with May production levels expected to exceed those of last year.
Rubber tapping typically sees lower production from February to May, followed by a peak from June to September.
Nonetheless, production has faced challenges due to bad weather affecting tapping activities.

Weather Impact
Thailand’s meteorological agency has warned of heavy rains from May 23-26, which could lead to flash floods and disrupt harvesting in top-producing regions.

Demand Trends
Despite the increased supply, demand remains resilient:
China’s rubber tyre exports rose by 6.2% year-on-year, reaching 3.03 million tons in the first four months of 2025.

Currency Impact
The Japanese yen weakened slightly against the dollar, trading at 144.31 yen per dollar. A stronger dollar makes yen-denominated rubber less attractive to foreign buyers.

Conclusion
The rubber market is currently balancing between rising supply from the harvesting season and strong demand for tyres. Weather conditions in major producing countries could significantly influence future supply levels.

Rubber Market Price Trend – Today

April 16, 2025

Rubber India

Market Overview

Today, Japanese rubber futures experienced a decline due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump. This uncertainty has negatively impacted market sentiment, raising concerns about potential repercussions on global economic growth and consumption.

Price Movements

Osaka Exchange (OSE): The rubber contract for September delivery fell by 6.5 yen, or 2.2%, closing at 292.9 yen ($2.1) per kg.

Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE): The September rubber contract decreased by 120 yuan, or 0.8%, to 14,810 yuan ($2,025) per metric ton.

Singapore Exchange (SICOM): The front-month rubber contract for May delivery last traded at 166.0 U.S. cents per kg, down 1.5% .

Factors Influencing the Market

Tariff Uncertainty: The U.S. has implemented significant tariffs on Chinese goods, which has led to retaliatory measures from China. This trade war is raising fears of a global recession, impacting market confidence in rubber and other commodities.

Economic Implications: Analysts suggest that the hefty U.S. tariffs pose a substantial risk to China’s economy, which is already facing challenges from a prolonged property downturn. This economic slowdown could further dampen demand for rubber.

Currency Fluctuations: The Japanese yen traded at 142.85 against the dollar, slightly down from 143.07 in the previous session. A stronger yen makes yen-denominated assets less affordable for overseas buyers, potentially affecting export demand for rubber.

Market Sentiment:
The overall sentiment in the market remains cautious as traders assess the implications of the ongoing trade tensions and their potential impact on consumption patterns globally .

Conclusion
The Japanese rubber market is currently facing downward pressure due to tariff uncertainties and broader economic concerns. Traders are closely monitoring developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these factors will likely continue to influence market dynamics in the near term.

Today Rubber Price Tripura: Price Analysis

As of February 18, 2025, the rubber prices in Tripura reflect a diverse market with various categories showing distinct pricing. Here’s a detailed analysis of the current rubber prices in Tripura:

Current Rubber Prices in Tripura

RSS4: ₹183 per kg

RSS5: ₹181 per kg

Dry Lot: ₹156-157 per kg

Good Lot: ₹159-163 per kg

Scrap 80 DRC: ₹96 per kg

80 Factory: ₹105 per kg

Scrap 75 DRC: ₹90-99 per kg

Price Trends and Observations

Stable Pricing: The prices for RSS4 and RSS5 have shown stability, with RSS4 priced at ₹183 and RSS5 at ₹181. This stability indicates a consistent demand for these grades in the market.

Lot Prices: The Good Lot prices range from ₹159 to ₹163, suggesting a slight premium for higher quality rubber. In contrast, the Dry Lot prices are lower, reflecting the quality differences in the rubber being sold.

Scrap Prices: The prices for scrap rubber, such as Scrap 80 DRC and Scrap 75 DRC, show variability, with Scrap 80 DRC priced at ₹96 and Scrap 75 DRC ranging from ₹90 to ₹99. This fluctuation may be influenced by the quality and processing methods of the scrap rubber.

Market Influences

Global Demand: The rubber market is influenced by global demand, particularly from major consumers like China, which has shown resilient demand for rubber products, especially in the automotive sector.

Weather Conditions: Recent weather patterns, including heavy rainfall in rubber-producing regions, have affected supply chains, potentially leading to price adjustments in the coming weeks.

Conclusion

The rubber prices in Tripura as of today reflect a stable yet dynamic market. Stakeholders should monitor these prices closely, as fluctuations can occur due to both local and global market conditions. Understanding these trends is crucial for making informed decisions in the rubber industry.

Rubber Market Report – Today

February 18, 2025

Rubber India

Overview
Japanese rubber futures exhibited limited movement today as traders assess the impact of a stronger yen alongside China’s efforts to invigorate private sector confidence. Notably, demand for rubber from China, the largest consumer, continues to falter, contributing to a cautious market sentiment.

Market Highlights

Osaka July delivery (JRUc6) declined by 0.3 yen (0.08%) to 371.2 yen ($2.45) per kg.

SHFE May fell by 140 yuan (0.78%) to 17,755 yuan ($2,440.82) per metric ton.

The February butadiene rubber dropped 240 yuan (1.68%) to 14,010 yuan ($1,925.98) per metric ton.

SICOM March delivery last traded at 201.9 U.S. cents per kg, down 0.6%.

Currency Impact
The yen (JPY=EBS) held steady at 151.61 per dollar, gaining nearly 4% against the dollar since the beginning of 2025. A stronger yen reduces the affordability of yen-denominated assets for foreign buyers, adding pressure to prices.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

Production Trends:8 Recent reports indicate lower-than-expected rubber destocking at Qingdao port, while production in downstream companies has accelerated. However, poor shipment conditions are dampening raw material demand.

Chinese Market: Despite efforts by President Xi Jinping to engage with major technology leaders to bolster sentiment, overall economic growth remains sluggish, further impacting rubber demand.

Inventory Levels: As of February 9, 2025, total natural rubber inventory in Qingdao rose to 569,000 tons, indicating a 3% increase. The social inventory across China reached 1.363 million tons, reflecting ongoing accumulation amidst weak demand.

Outlook
The market is navigating mixed signals, with supply constraints from major producing regions like Vietnam and Northeast China due to seasonal harvesting suspensions. However, downstream manufacturers are primarily focused on depleting existing inventories rather than ramping up purchases.

As the Spring Festival concludes, an influx of natural rubber latex shipments is expected, which may increase spot circulation at ports. Despite rising cost support from decreased overseas supply, limited demand could lead to a volatile market landscape.

Key Considerations

Supply Shrinkage: Seasonal harvesting suspensions in key regions may lend support to rubber prices.

Weak Demand: Downstream manufacturers are cautious, limiting short-term purchasing activity.

Market Volatility: The interplay of rising costs and stagnant demand may result in continued price fluctuations.

In conclusion, the rubber market is characterized by a stalemate influenced by both supply constraints and weak demand, suggesting a complex environment for traders in the coming weeks.

Rubber Market Report -Today

February 13, 2025
Rubber India

Market Overview


Japanese rubber futures have rebounded today, breaking a three-day losing streak. The Osaka July rubber contract rose by 3.8 yen, or 1.03%, reaching 371.9 yen ($2.41) per kg. Earlier in the session, prices peaked at 381.5 yen, marking the highest level since February 5, 2025. This increase is attributed to improving demand from China, the world’s largest consumer of rubber, and anticipated supply reductions due to off-season production challenges [3].

Key Price Movements:

OSE July Rubber Contract: Up 3.8 yen to 371.9 yen/kg.

SHFE May Rubber Contract: Increased by 160 yuan to 17,695 yuan ($2,421.78) per metric ton.

SHFE February Butadiene Rubber Contract: Decreased by 90 yuan to 14,550 yuan ($1,991.35) per metric ton.

Demand and Supply Dynamics:

Demand: Downstream factories in China are gradually resuming operations, leading to a slow increase in purchasing activity. This uptick in demand is crucial as the market transitions into a period of lower production.

Supply: Foreign rubber plantations are entering their off-season production phase, which typically lasts from February to May. This period is expected to see a reduction in supply, contributing to the upward pressure on prices.

Global Trade Context:
Despite the positive demand signals, concerns loom over potential trade tensions. U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries that levy duties on U.S. imports, which could escalate the ongoing trade war. This situation adds a layer of uncertainty to the market, particularly affecting international trade dynamics [3].

Currency Impact:
The U.S. dollar is trading near a one-week high against the Japanese yen, which makes yen-denominated assets more attractive to foreign buyers. As of the latest trading session, the dollar was at 154.33 yen.

Conclusion
The Japanese rubber market is currently experiencing a rebound in futures prices driven by improving demand from China and expected supply reductions due to seasonal production changes. However, ongoing trade tensions and currency fluctuations may influence future market stability.

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